8.11.04

(Vasta)kulttuurin agentti

A good card magician knows many tricks that depend on luck--they don't always work, or even often work. There are some effects--they can hardly be called tricks--that might work only once in a thousand times! But here is what you do. You start by telling the audience you are going to perform a trick, and without telling them what trick you are doing, you go for the one-in-a-thousand effect. It almost never works, of course, so you glide seamlessly into a second try, for an effect that works about one time in a hundred, perhaps. When it too fails (as it almost always will) you slide into effect #3, which only works about one time in ten, so you'd better be ready with effect #4 which works half the time (let's say), and if all else fails (and by this time, usually one of the earlier safety nets will have kept you out of this worst case), you have a failsafe effect, which won't impress the crowd very much but at least it's a surefire trick. In the course of a whole performance, you will be very unlucky indeed if you always have to rely on your final safety net, and whenever you achieve one of the higher-flying effects, the audience will be stupefied. "Impossible! How on earth could you have known that was my card?" Aha! You didn't know, but you had a cute way of taking a hopeful stab in the dark that paid off. By hiding the "error" cases from view, you create a "miracle".

Evolution works the same way: all the dumb mistakes tend to be invisible, so all we see is a stupendous string of triumphs. For instance, over 90% of all the creatures that have ever lived died childless, but not a single one of your ancestors suffered that fate. Talk about a line of charmed lives!

- Daniel C. Dennett: How to Make Mistakes


In a drunken angry voice he proclaimed that the Finns have a compulsion to succeed but not by conventional means. Hot shit this year Finland is going to win the Eurovision song contest, and we will do it by sending a homo to sing a song about angels and demons having sex and of course they do not succeed and they slope off into the forest once again to get drunk and lick their wounds about being rejected and being no good.
- Tom Pöysti - How to be a success by making mistakes

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